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A Look at the Math, 2/11/10 February 11, 2010

Posted by CapitalSpirit in Uncategorized.

Well, Edmonton lost last night, so we’ve got our first elimination. The Oilers can no longer win the President’s Trophy after losing to the Ducks last night. More going on out West tonight, as both Edmonton and San Jose are in action tonight, which means we could see San Jose clinch the 14 West spot, and Edmonton eliminated from 1 West. Toronto is idle tonight, so there won’t be any C’s and E’s in the East. However, a Caps win tonight would make the Eastern math a little more interesting all across the board. Let’s get to it.

WASHINGTON CAPITALS AT OTTAWA SENATORS. Game 3 of 4. WSH leads by 1. The Caps look to bounce back from a streak-stopping loss to the Habs last night. (Side rant: the win against Pittsburgh on Sunday was the last win in the streak, and I wasn’t there because of the weather. This winter is just the gift that keeps on giving, isn’t it?!) And speaking of stopped streaks, the Senators just had a streak of their own snapped against the Leafs the other night, so they’re also looking to get another streak going. A quick check of the Sens’ website has the following quote as the top headline: “Statement Game.” The Caps had better bring their A game tonight: they might have been able to play a half-baked game and sneak out of Montreal with a point, but that’s not going to happen in Ottawa. Series: WSH can clinch series with a regulation win. WSH is +4 against Toronto for 14 East.

BUFFALO SABRES AT CAROLINA HURRICANES. Game 3 of 4. Series is even, tie break to CAR. Don’t let the standings disparity fool you. The Hurricanes have won three in a row, and seven of their last ten. The Sabres, meanwhile, are 2-6-2 in their last ten. Carolina evidently doesn’t want to go down without a fight, and Buffalo has yet to win a game this month. The Northeast is now up for grabs, as Ottawa has tied Buffalo in the standings. The Sabres are still holding on to the division lead on games in hand, but how long will that last if the losing keeps up? The Caps will be happy either way: either they’ll get some more breathing room on Buffalo, or they’ll be that much closer to clinching the 4 Southeast spot. CAR is -8 against Washington for President’s Trophy, 1 Southeast, and 3 East.

BOSTON BRUINS AT TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING. Game 3 of 4. Series is tied. These two teams are playing for their respective standings, as the B’s and Bolts are neck and neck at the bubble. If the Bolts win, they’ll get some breathing room; if the Bruins win in regulation, they could take over the 8 spot if I understand the third tie break correctly. Boston does not want this one to go longer than sixty minutes. I have to think the edge on this one goes to Tampa Bay: they’ve got a very good home record, and they’ve won four in a row, and 7 of their last 10. BOS is -20 against Washington for President’s Trophy and 1 East.

VANCOUVER CANUCKS AT FLORIDA PANTHERS. Game 1 of 1. It’s on with the 14-game road show, as the Canucks pull in to Sunrise. Math here isn’t exactly must-watch, as the Panthers are -14 against Washington. However, that could change: a regulation loss from the Panthers, coupled with a Caps win in Ottawa, could put the Panthers a scant ten points away from a whole lot of early eliminations.

SAN JOSE SHARKS AT DETROIT RED WINGS. Game 4 of 4. Off game; SJS have clinched series. Looking at this from a Caps fan’s perspective, I have to root for Detroit here. San Jose got shut out in Columbus last night, and perhaps there may be some carryover tonight. The Caps would love a little more breathing room atop the NHL standings, so tonight–for just one night–I might just have to teach myself how to throw an octopus. PLAYOFF CLINCH: SHARKS: Can clinch 14 West with any point, or any Edmonton loss.

DALLAS STARS AT CALGARY FLAMES. Game 4 of 4. DAL leads by 2. Too much hockey left to play for both of these teams, so the playoff math is a snoozer. CGY is +21 against Edmonton for 14 West and 4 Northwest; DAL is -21 against Washington for President’s Trophy. Both teams are fighting for their playoff lives, however, so watch for the hockey, not the math. Series: CGY must win in regulation to tie series, or DAL wins.

EDMONTON OILERS AT LOS ANGELES KINGS. Game 3 of 4. LAK lead by 4. The Kings have had their win streak recently snapped, as well, so look for a spirited effort by the home team. The Oilers saw their first elimination last night, and there will be more where that came from if they keep doing what they’ve been doing. Series: EDM must win in regulation, or LAK win series. PLAYOFF ELIMINATION: OILERS: Would be eliminated from 1 West with any loss, or with any San Jose point.



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